>> he said brett kavanaugh assaulted her and you were in the room. some of your statements don't sound like an unequivocal denial.

paul: welcome to the journal editorial report. president biden launched a new push to court hispanic voters with campaign stops in the swing state of nevada and arizona as the campaign struggles to reverse gains donald trump appears to be making with that crucial voting group. four years ago biden won latino voters 2 to to one over trump but recent polls indicate democrats's longtime advantages diminishing with the fastest-growing segment of the us population. speaking at phoenix on tuesday, president biden told those voters that he needs them. >> president biden: i need you. i need you badly. i desperately need your help, because look, there's only six or seven states that will determine the outcome of this election, tossup states and this is one of the. you are the reason why a large part i beat donald trump. let's beat him again.

paul: let's bring in wall street journal columnist and fox news contributor karl rove. the president laid it on of the line the way candidates usually don't, basically begging them to rescue him. how much trouble is he in? >> he is in trouble with that voting group, the hispanic community is very diverse, difference between cuban-americans, venezuelan americans, colombia americans in places like arizona and texas. each for a different reason. in the case of arizona and texas their communities are being affected by the border situation and the administration is unwilling to do anything about it.

paul: how much is economic and how much is cultural. are these factors among the working-class hispanics? >> the hispanic community has long been profamily, pro-faith, promilitary, patriotic group of people, very entrepreneurial, we see that play out particularly as the hispanic community becomes more pentecostal and one of the fastest-growing parts of the hispanic community are people who are pentecostal and even evangelical, they are more concerned with the future of the country and cultural issues but economics will continue to be the big driver and if you look at texas, the further west you get along the rio grande river the deeper you get into energy country and the more wide the swing between 2016,

and 2020. you have a group of people in west texas and southeast new mexico saying i'm drawing a good income and living from the energy business, driving a truck, working in the oil patch and one could political party want to get rid of my job. paul: there is a debate whether this trend is against the democrats among working-class minority voters and hispanics but even many black men, just related to this election in these circumstances, there's a larger realignment in our politics. when george w. bush won reelection the exit polls said he won 40 one% of hispanic voters but that fell back down under obama. are we seeing a more permanent realignment?

>> willing know about it in retrospect. we have a big victory in the case of 1932 or 1896 and then we look back and realize there is something semipermanent that happened. my gut tells me the democratic party as it becomes more identified with the coastal elites, becomes less able to connect with middle-class and working-class voters of which there are many hispanics. paul: you wrote in your column this election will come down to seven states. the big surprise was nevada is on that list. what's going on in that state? that has been very good for democrats in the last couple of decades. >> it used to be you had to get registration, republicans had to be under 100,000, four years ago, it was 50,000 in 2,022.

as of today, 32,000 gap between registered democrats and republicans, the state is trending in a conservative fashion, republican governor and i think this is a state that is up for grabs. the battleground states, 7 battlegrounds are the seven states that were closest in 2020 and georgia, arizona, wisconsin, pennsylvania, north carolina which trump won, nevada and michigan, all of these are the seven closest states and if you look at the other states the next group of states, here are the next states that were won between three% and 10% by republicans or democrats, florida and texas which became more republican in the time since, minnesota more democrat, new hampshire leading and more democrat at the national level, ohio which was an 8 point victory, likely to

be bigger this time for trump, iowa 8.2, likely to be bigger for trump, that is it. the other 37 states, 36 states were won by one party or the other by 10 points or more. we really are in a highly polarized time and we are going to be fighting over a much smaller group of states. paul: it will be amazing. appreciate it. the biden administration rolls out new emissions standards as it pushes out a plan to phase out gas powered cars. what the ev mandate means for the auto industry as election prospects in michigan.

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just once a month. nucala targets and reduces eosinophils and helps your symptoms. think less asthma attacks... less need for oral steroids... less asthma-related hospital visits. nucala is a once-monthly add-on injection for severe eosinophilic asthma. nucala is not for sudden breathing problems. allergic reactions can occur. get help right away for swelling of face, mouth, tongue, or trouble breathing. infections that can cause shingles have occurred. don't stop steroids unless told by your doctor. tell your doctor if you have a parasitic infection. may cause headache, injection site reactions, back pain, and fatigue. it's not you - it's your symptoms. so, help get ahead of your asthma. get to the source, measured with simple blood testing. ask your specialist about nucala. paul: the biden administration rolls out the tailpipe emissions standards, major

fault line in the 2024 presidential campaign. long-awaited rules are designed to ensure the majority of passenger cars and light trucks sold in the united states are all electric or hybrid. administration officials insist the standards are not an ev mandate they do amount to phase out of gas powered cars which can make no more than 30% of auto sales by 2032. let's go to dan heninger and kim strawser and kyle peterson. this is a big deal even though it is regulation which can be a little bit obscure. tell us why this would operate as a mandate for evs or phase out of nascar's? >> as you noticed in the beginning by 2032, you can't have more than 30% produced and

sold in the united states, more than 30% and so what this means is you have mostly on the phone market some hybrids, mostly electric vehicles. the few ones that are left will be so expensive because they are so sought after that most people will not be able to afford them and going forward they won't be enough to satisfy the market, old cars will retire so it is essentially a mandate for ev cars. paul: cars will be too expensive will be the gas powered cars. >> the gas powered cars. everybody would want, the price would be astronomical and they won't be enough to satisfy what is huge demand in the united states for internal combustion engines. paul: what is driving this? usually politicians shy away

from telling you what you can't do, you can't buy cars, generally not -- what is driving it? >> democratic politics and democratic obsessions, the obsession being the climate. anybody paying attention to politics the last 5 or 10 years realizes the democrats in the person of john kerry are absolutely obsessed with climate change. and electric vehicles, no tailpipe emissions, are the primary thing that they are going to use to reduce the climate to make the climate cleaner. paul: we don't even know whether or not this would matter a bit to global temperatures. >> that's the interesting thing about this. it is such an obsession the democrats, political parties supposed to be professional politicians are ignoring a lot

of the implications, we have already seen consumer pushback against electric vehicles and eventually gas powered vehicles will be so expensive the average price of an electric vehicle, $50,000 and that is why they are not buying them. the price will fall over the next 10 years as more charging stations are built. the politics of this do not make a lot of sense but they are determined to force the public to do it. paul: what about the autoworkers, united auto workers endorsed this with a long statement of caveat saying we've got to put tariffs on foreign cars too, but this has implications for them. >> not surprised the uaw's with biden on this. it is a union, part of the progressive democratic movement. i'm curious whether this will create friction between union

leaders and members who are more middle of the road, more susceptible to trump's appeals, people -- paul: more susceptible to losing their jobs. shawn fain isn't going to lose his job. >> people don't understand the scale of this. last year new auto sales were 8% evs, half were teslas, talking about a force-fed transition with a lot of money with auto companies which is part of what is keeping the uaw to get this to a majority within a decade. this is terrible politics and i wonder how much president biden's into it. is a 1967 corvette guy. when they classified files, they are not sitting next to a chevy volt so this to me looks like it was driven by progressives in the administration. paul: the automakers signed off

on this. they are for it. between the original proposal and this when they got a reprieve in the short term for the first couple of years but why are automakers on board for this. they are losing money on every ev they sell, losing money on those and they use sales of gas powered cars to subsidize evs. >> they are losing billions, ford lost 4 billion on its ev unit last year but will do a lot when you have a gun to your head and essentially this is what they have been faced with by the administration. they can play nice and beg for more subsidies and try to offset those high costs of the ev and limp along or they can complain and get nothing so that's a decision they made at the moment.

better to enforce reality about the actual problems here. they decided to give the government money. paul: a big part of the 2,024 debate. donald trump and chuck schumer both get the candidate they wanted ohio seneca high-stakes showdown that could determine control of the senate. your hos. —hi. —hi. do you believe in ghosts? meanwhile, at a vrbo... when other vacation rentals have no privacy, try one that has no one but you.

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and some of my favorite moments throughout my life are watching sports with my dad. now, i work at comcast as part of the team that created our ai highlights technology, which uses ai to detect the major plays in a sports game. giving millions of fans, like my dad and me, new ways of catching up on their favorite sport. paul: battle for control of the senate is heating up with trump back candidate bernie marino winning out republican primary race in ohio. he will face shared brown in november. a matchup chuck schumer was hoping for.

$2.5 million in support of marino. the candidate the democrats believe will be the easiest to beat in the general election. how is it chuck schumer wants the same candidate donald trump, sounds like somebody will be disappointed here. >> they keep running this strategy. democrats are backing the most amaga candidate in republican primaries because it has worked in 2022. they backed galen to be defeated in the general election and maybe he will be a better candidate than some of his predecessors who faced the same tactic but it is a big deal given the closeness of the senate and the fact that two democrats who said they are not interested in blowing up the filibuster are leaving. that is on the table. paul: what do they know about marino?

>> he is aligned with the democrats, you mean. he is aligned with donald trump. he believes the election was stolen most of the other trumpian ideas but democrats may be overstating things. bernie marino is a very successful cleveland businessman. he took over mercedes-benz dealer, turned it into a big success, build this enormous strength of luxury car dealerships. he used to be a basically traditional republican involved in a lot of traditional organizations in cleveland but decided to go over and become a supporter of donald trump and this has gotten him all these votes in ohio. ohio is a politically complicated state. don't underestimate shared brown. is a progressive democrat the workingman's progressive and he has figured out how to win in ohio in the past.

i suspect it will be a very close race. paul: how is the battle for the senate shaping up? a republican picks up west virginia, that could get them to 50 seats but if biden wins they need 51. ohio is pretty important. what other possibilities are there out there? >> in theory this is a huge year for them because for the most part democrats are defending their seats and republicans are on tap so there's the ohio seat you mentioned, also montana where john tester is potentially in some trouble. there's nevada, there's pennsylvania and all of these are in play because president biden's poor approval ratings at the moment. a lot of these are swing states. democrats have done well in

recent years because they made these referendums on donald trump. this year they may go into it facing a lot of head wind and the risk for republicans is they get a bunch of candidates and they have done this in the past, where everything looks great, the stars aligned and they managed to win anyway. paul: they need to win this year majority because the maps don't look as good in 2026, and 2028. >> absolutely right. paul: marjorie taylor greene files a motion, resolution in the house to vacate the chair to oust speaker johnson, not an immediate that she will trigger this. what was his soon? >> trying to keep the government open, working on a funding bill that can get through congress, the same

self-destructive tendency we saw in october when we saw a speaker fight for a month with multiple candidates, not being able to get a majority of the house to contain the speaker's gavel and great politics in marjorie taylor greene's specific district that she holds but if you want to keep the majority you have to keep the seats in the suburbs, seats won by president biden and democrats will have a field day if we have another speaker battle in the november election and say you can't let those republicans be in charge, they can't even elect their own leaders. paul: johnson only has a to vote majority now. if she does go ahead with of this, her future, his future, mike johnson's future may depend on democratic votes. >> it would. you have to wonder whether marjorie taylor greene is counting votes as well as speaker johnson is.

last thing the republican party needs is a public show of dysfunction. johnson is quieter, more functional, politics in the house of representatives. the point is get through the election, increase the majority in the house, not put it at risk. paul: when we come back, as vladimir putin secures a fifth term as russia's president, a startling report says he is prepared for an large-scale conflict with nato and it could come sooner than many analysts believe. we will talk about vladimir putin's plans next.

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paul: as flatware putin secures 1/5 term as president, a new report from the study of horses russia is preparing for a long scale conflict with nato and it could happen sooner than many western analysts believe. jack keane is chairman of the institute for the study of war and a senior strategic analyst. good to see you as always. tell us about the evidence you and your folks have compiled that makes this startling argument. >> the evidence is vladimir putin himself talking about his goals for this term and trying to put in place economic and

financial structures that will assist with sustaining a war campaign to include reform of its own military structure along with the ambition to reunite the russian empire and bring back to the fold particularly the eastern european countries that used to be part of the soviet union. we've got to take vladimir putin at face value. we used to roll our eyes when he said he was going to move on ukraine and number of years ago. multiple administrations did not take them seriously but he was saying that publicly. german investigative reporters got a hold of a classified german intelligence report that says the same thing a couple months ago isw is saying using open sources. this put the spotlight on strategic implications of what is happening. vladimir putin is making a fundamental assumption, he is able to topple ukraine, take

charge, and use that as a base of operations for what he is seeking. that's white makes no sense to make a claim that we don't want to be involved in ukraine, it's a border dispute between russia and ukraine. we need to solve our own border dispute before we solve that problem. that's not looking at what is happening here. if he takes ukraine, but that gives him a blueprint, a platform and incentive to do what he wants to do. to stop him from doing that, the audience as to understand he topples ukraine, our actions and nato actions would be more troops, more ships, more airplanes into the european theater to stop vladimir putin from doing what he intends to do and that will dwarf the expenses we have with -- china, where would the resources come from? the indo pacific region while

we are trying to deter china. that's where we take ships and airplanes from. paul: lennar putin two years has not been able to subdue ukraine and nobody that i know thinks he would be able to win a confrontation with nato. what are you talking about in terms of chronology? he would have to subdue ukraine, and what timeframe are you talking about where he and his military and economy would be capable of taking on nato? >> a couple things. it wouldn't be imminent. it would be three to five years likely. i'm not convinced it would be an all-out invasion. it would be something like hybrid warfare which gives nato the option to decline. we saw that when he annexed

crimea and into eastern ukraine, doing those hybrid forces and dissolve the problem russian minorities are having in a baltic state or eastern european state under the guise of attaining stability for people connected to russia which he did in crimea and occupy that territory and force article 5 or walk away. that is a likely scenario. so yes, if we had to go to war with russia and it is a full out war with all their capabilities, the united states and nato capabilities, it would favor nato in defeating russia but it would be a contracted campaign over some time. more likely scenario is what i'm describing. paul: rather than getting more aid to ukraine so that he cannot win, nato has a summit

coming up. what does it need to do in terms of deployments or what else, to say to vladimir putin you won't get away with it? >> more forward deployments, more capability in eastern europe for sure is absolutely needed. the europeans have woken up to this threat. it has been slow in coming. they've been intend on building a social welfare democracy, and multiple presidents called them out on that, you are not meeting your obligations in defense expenditures. that is being fixed, not as fast as we want it. from those meeting at 2% goal, to 18 this year. it is getting there. and also, it's got their focus on what is taking place here.

they realize the importance of ukraine. they provide more resources to ukraine than the united states. they are focused and forced the united states to provide banks, they force the united states to go to the f-16 which hopefully will get there by the end of the summer. europeans forcing the united states to do those actions and we are holding back the ukrainians from using the long-range systems they want and being able to attack into russia with the advanced systems we give them. i'm not sure the audience understands that. ukrainians cannot use those weapons to attack the state of russia even though russia invaded their state. makes no sense. never heard of any prohibition like that in any war we've been associated with in the past. paul: thank you for that candid

assessment of how dangerous our world is becoming. benjamin netanyahu blasts chuck schumer in a speech to the senate gop as tensions grow between the prime minister and leading democrats. our panel ways in on the emerging partisan split over politics at play in the us. >> president biden talks about a 2 state solution, seems like the only thing he's interested in our michigan and nevada. balanced nutrition for strength and energy. yay - woo hoo! ensure, with 27 vitamins and minerals, nutrients for immune health. and ensure complete with 30 grams of protein. (♪) pain hits fast. so get relief fast. only tylenol rapid release gels have laser drilled holes. they release medicine fast for fast pain relief. and now, get max strength topical pain relief precisely where you need it. with new tylenol precise.

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paul: tensions grow between the israeli government and top democrats in the us with benjamin netanyahu blasting chuck schumer for his floor speech when he criticized the israeli prime minister as an obstacle to peace and called for elections in the jewish state. in a closed door conference

with senate republicans, he called the remarks outrageous and wholly inappropriate. president biden praised schumer's address calling it a good speech. we are back with dan heninger, kim strawser land kyle peters. blackmer's where what he was going to say in advance or how serious is this breach between biden democrats and israel? >> a serious breach at least at this time. it has one explanation and that is president biden's vulnerability and weaknesses. very down in the polls, we have reported for several weeks there is this element in the democratic party on the progressive left, mostly young voters demonstrating in the streets, on campuses against israel in favor of the palestinians and president biden is terrified that he's going to lose that vote and

conceivably lose the election and chuck schumer got his nose to the wind on this is acting as president biden's cast off against israel but the breach is hard to overstate. democratic party with most jewish voters, has been pro-israel since 1948 and this could signify a significant long-term break between israel, american jewish voters in the democratic party. paul: chuck schumer must have known when you give a speech like this, there's a backlash as benjamin netanyahu's remarks show in fact that is what happened. his opponents in israel supported benjamin netanyahu against schumer so what was schumer attempting to do? is he trying to focus democratic anger on benjamin netanyahu to deflect it from biden?

>> i'm not quite sure chuck schumer recognized the back lash, he's been on a justification tour giving interviews to the media saying he was doing this to save israel. that was his purpose. he wants you wants everyone to feel they can love israel as long as benjamin netanyahu and his policies are there it is not possible. therefore it was all done, that's baloney as dan said. this was done for political purposes but by trying to channel that he's on the same side as the antiwar left, entirely about the 2,024 election, it's about michigan, it's about turnout and that is his goal. paul: how do you explain this turn against israel as most american jews vote democratic overwhelmingly?

what is behind this? the changing nature of the democratic party, is it the progressive culture move? what is it? >> some of his demographics but some of it is the influence of the youth vote and a lot of democratic voters who don't remember the long years of israel trying to make peace and being rebuffed. we see the most fervent pro-palestine are anti-israel voters demonstrations on college campuses but i agree this is a political move for the president. what makes more remarkable is it would not be so worried about those voters in michigan if he would stop doing things like these ev mandates and domestic policies that are alienating working-class voters but he's choosing those progressive policies backed by him and his advisors over the

obvious choice of supporting a democratic ally that has been a longtime us friend in the middle east. paul: it calls for an immediate cease-fire linked to release of the hostages but also opposed by israel. why is the united states making the united nations the venue for trying to drive peace and gaza? it's the most hostile anti-israel body you could find. >> it reflects how desperate the biden administration team has become to modify the pressure that the left would turn the united nations more than anything else but the big question is what is this going to do to jewish voters in the united states if the president himself and his party is sympathetic to pushing around

his real, you have to wonder if jewish donors and jewish voters will show up for president biden if this persists. paul: is this going to be a net plus for biden? >> it is a net minus. you've seen support fall for israel. israel retains great support among the american people and they do not like to see chuck schumer and the president backing away from a long-standing ally and meddling in that country's politics. paul: the first amendment takes center stage at the supreme court as the justices consider whether government can coerce social media platforms to censor content. woah! and he even sent one back. but in the future, i'm gonna need an address and a zip code. we did this for a skateboard, see what we can do for your business. fedex. - bye, bye cough. - later chest congestion.

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paul: the first amendment was back at the supreme court and what could be a landmark case as justices consider how far government officials could go in pressuring social media sites to remove content the government doesn't like. at issue is whether the biden administration crossed a constitutional line in its efforts to get facebook and other platforms to take down posts that criticize the government's covid 19 policies, vaccine and mask mandates. the oral argument in that social media case didn't go well for the states and plaintiffs, it seems. justices are mostly skeptical the government crossed a line here. why? >> this is a very broad lawsuit and lower court ruling, that is what was important. paul: in favor of the plaintiffs. >> and scope of conduct including all sorts of steps.

and to censor people and not allowed to force parties to censor people. paul: the government is allowed to persuade and all sorts of stuff in the court record here like facebook talking to cdc saying we have a misinformation policy. can you tell us of these claims are true or not? that seems to be on the right side of the line but also some conduct where white house officials are meeting with the teams social media sites, using very strong language, we want you to do this, we should do this. i'm expecting this and that crosses over to abortion particularly given these are regulated platforms. paul: brett kavanaugh drawing a connection between where

government officials might lobby newspapers, which is been known to happen on different things. when a government official yells at us to do something, we can say thank you for your kind advice and ignore it but the government has that section 230 liability protections threat over the social media platforms. that would be bad for their business so there's a coercive element in my opinion. what do you think? >> i like it when they call to yellen but there's a distinction with the press because often those threats, they know they can't get very far. as you say, this is a different situation. it is bigger than publishing entities in the tech world, not only are they at risk from criminal liability, they are not protected by criminal liability. only civil liability.

there are antitrust threats the federal trade commission contract to go after them. when the threat exists out there, all those two things coupled together. paul: what do you think of this and this other case involving new york regulator for finance regulator the told banks you can to do business with the national rifle association or we will punish you. is that a violation of the first amendment? >> both of these cases are cut from the same cloth. the white house trying to coerce social media companies into doing their bidding, the white house press secretary said there could be legal consequences. the u.s.

constitution, to protect the federal government, it was written to protect individual rights. big government using more of its power left and right, there is a school of thought among some conservatives the government needs to do more to enforce and serve conservative ideas. the individual is getting pushed into the background, that happened with social media where there were dissidents, scientific dissidents, whether we should have as many closures as we had. paul: eminent scientists. >> if the government can shutdown that sort of thing, financial regulators say they can't do business, we won't do business with you unless you sever ties with gun lobby groups.

that is forcing individual behavior. paul: you are a supreme court reader, kyle, what do you think will happen? kyle:we will get a ruling, these parties don't have understanding or direct injury. you might get dissent from conservative justices to draw the line laying out. the test is much more obvious. paul: we have to take one more break. when we come back, hit and misses of the break. ♪(song in french)♪ (♪)

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paul: time now for hits and misses of the week. kim, first to you with. >> so, paul, this is a miss to hunter biden and his lawyer, abbe lowell are, for failure to show up this week to answer

questions at a public hearing about the biden family business and influence peddling. this is the same hunter that just a couple of months ago was railing that he'd been asked to come in for a private deposition saying that forum was unfair and that he deserved the right the speak publicly to the nation about his story. we keep hearing about how the bidens have nothing to hide, but this no-show certainly suggests otherwise. paul: kyle. >> i will give a miss to bernie sanders who unveiled legislation to establish a 32-hour workweek requiring overtime pay for any ourly workers who put in more than 8 hours -- paul: you don't want to work 32 hours a week? in. [laughter] >> here's where you come in, companies could not reduce pay as a result. [laughter] class bl unworkable socialism, wouldn't companies just freeze raises or you know, hire new employees at lower standards? americans are strivers, and that is one reason that they enjoy living standards that would amaze their ancestors. paul: i would never cut

anybody's pay. dan. >> my hit goes to the people of ireland who voted in the past week on two referendums to change the references to families in the irish constitution. and and one of the referenda would have eliminated the constitution's references to mothers, especially mothers who choose to stay at home. the vote against that was 74%, the largest no vote in irish refer dumb history. it also led e in part to the resignation of the prime minister this week. and there's one lesson here, paul, don't mess with irish moms. [laughter] paul: all right. and remember, if you have your own hit or miss, be sure to send it to us it's jer on fnc. thanks to my panel and to all of you for watching. i'm paul gigot. hope to see you right here next week. ♪ ♪ eric: an outpouring of support after catherine, princess of wales, reveals