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tv   ABC7 News Getting Answers  ABC  March 5, 2024 3:00pm-3:31pm PST

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action. >> but first, the election. californians will have a voice in today's primary on who the next senator might be, as well as governor gavin newsom's proposition one. we're going to break it all down for you. you're watching, getting answers. i'm karina nova. we start with super tuesday, the races to watch and the issues voters will decide as californians make their voices heard. joining us live now is paul mitchell, vice president of political data, inc, a bipartisan voter data firm. good to see you again, paul. >> great to see you. >> well, let's start talking about the importance of this super tuesday. as we know, more than one third of the country's delegates are up for grabs. how big is that impact? >> well, it is a big impact. and obviously, you know, the presidential race is on both sides will essentially be over, i think at after this super tuesday, on the democratic side,
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obviously, democrats have kind of punted the primary and have joe biden as the nominee with some nominal opposition in a couple of the early states. but, much like in 2012, when obama was the democratic nominee in california and really, there was not much excitement for the race because, you know, everybody knew who the democratic nominee was going to be. we're seeing that this election cycle on the republican side, we have, you know, nine contests that have been completed as of today. now we're going to have almost all the delegates necessary for donald trump to wrap up the republican nomination. and again, voters in california are kind of voting with their feet and saying, there's not a lot of reason for us to get out into this election cycle. it really isn't going to make a big difference. and as a result, we're seeing a lot lower turnout in this election cycle here in california. >> yeah. let's talk a little bit about the presidential race. nikki haley has won just one primary so far. can she keep going after super tuesday? >> yeah nikki haley won one
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primary. but it was not. what you would think of as a normal primary. is a primary held by the dc republican party in a hotel room over a weekend. and there will actually be another primary in june in washington, d.c. so it's kind of like she won half of a primary, she has done really well in a number of states, and she has said that she wants to hang on until she's no longer quote unquote competitive, and it might make an impact in the race. in fact, if legal troubles or other things come up later on in the spring, going into the summer before the november election, there could be a possibility of republicans switching horses and her being maybe seen as the most, you know, competitive challenger to trump might bear fruit. it might also bear fruit for her in 2028, when whether it's trump or biden, there would be an open primary, on both sides, the democratic and republican. so i think she's got a lot to say this cycle. but it you know, she's not going to be saying a lot of victory
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speeches. >> right, let's talk about the california senate seat previously held by the late dianne feinstein. there are actually two senate races for the same seat, one to fill feinstein's turm, the other for the full six year terms. let's take a look at a berkeley institute of governmental studies poll on where the four candidates stand, if we can take a look at that there. so you can see steve garvey at the top with 27, then adam schiff, representative katie porter, then barbara lee. so you can see there, republican steve garvey is in the lead in a very democratic state. what are you watching for here? >> well, first off, like you said, there are actually two elections for the us senate. one is to fulfill the remainder of the terms for dianne feinstein, the one that is currently being held by senator laphonza butler, she decided not to run for the full time or the partial. so there's going to be elections for both of those, and so, like
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you showed on the screen right now, steve garvey is in the lead there. this is just a math problem essentially for steve garvey. and it's a pretty easy one for him to get into the runoff. the fact is, about 38 to 40% of our vote will come from voters who are voting for republican candidates statewide. he's getting about 75% of that vote. so he essentially walks into the race with 28, 29, against a field of several democrats who are splitting up the vote, so that the fact that steve garvey is ahead with that, maybe 29, you know, that might feel good on election day in the primary, but that 29% doesn't get you very far in a general election. there's not like there's going to be a whole world of new voters for steve garvey, whether it's katie porter, barbara lee or, adam schiff as as his opponent going into november. but i do expect him to be one of the top two, coming out of tonight. >> okay. there are some high profile, highly competitive congressional races in california. is control of the
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house or senate up for grabs this november? >> definitely. the control of the house is up for grabs. and if it's going to be a narrow majority like we've had for the last several years, whether democrats or republicans having, you know, ten or fewer seats decide control a majority in dc, then that path only goes through california. essentially, if there's going to be a narrow democratic pickup or republicans are going to hold on, it's going to be because of a couple seats in the central valley, a couple seats in orange county, maybe one seat going out into riverside, that's how kind of important california is to control of congress. and they're not only those seats that are really important in the general. there's also a number of seats that are open in the primary in the bay area. a lot of people are probably seeing ads for the anna eshoo seat, because tv is often bought, you know, broadcast. it's going all throughout the bay area. people who aren't even in that district, that is in, santa clara, are getting ads all over
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the bay area for a number of candidates that are running to replace anna eshoo. so there's a combination of competitive seats that are competitive in the general democrat versus republican, and then competitive seats that are, you know, clearly going to be democratic held. but it's just a question of, you know, will they'll be will there be like a generational change candidate, or something like that in those seats? >> and we're going to talk in more detail about anna eshoo seat right after the break. but i want to talk about prop one with you. and that is, governor newsom has been pushing to pass. just yesterday, he was in san francisco with other political leaders, including mayor london breed, asking people to vote yes, this is a $6 billion, $1 billion that would go towards tackling mental health and homelessness. how likely is this to pass? >> well, you know, this ballot measure in that same poll that showed steve garvey up, the uc, the uc berkeley poll with, d, mark dicamillo, who's kind of the dean of california pollsters, did that polling. he also showed that prop one was at
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50% support right now, so that makes it sound like it's incredibly close and it might be a nail biter. however, the no side on that ballot measure was only 34. so really kind of soft opposition, to it. and i expect that those undecideds, even if they broke, you know, 5 to 1 against the ballot measure, given those numbers in the uc berkeley poll, it seems as though that ballot measure still would have enough support to pass. so i expect it to pass. i expect it to kind of be a statement, for gavin newsom about his popularity, his ability to carry a costly measure that addresses one of the state's key issues across the finish line, the state is looking for people who can be leaders on homelessness, and if they pass this ballot measure, they are, in effect, kind of putting a seal of approval on gavin newsom. strategies for, you know, dealing with these issues around the state. >> all right. paul mitchell, thank you so much for your insight. as always. we
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appreciate your time. and we'll check in with you soon. very soon. i'm sure. >> of course. >> there are seven local ballot measures that voters are deciding on in san francisco. they deal with issues including police powers, housing and drug testing. abc seven news insider phil matier explains their impact and whi
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and policies impacting police. joining us now is abc seven insider, phil matier. and phil. i spoke to the league of women voters yesterday. they were saying they're getting a lot of questions about some of these ballot measures, specifically b,
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c, e, and f. we're going to go through some of those in a moment, but i just want to ask you in general about this ballot, just comparing it to previous ones. yeah, how have the issues changed? >> well, it's interesting, a few years back, if you had a local election in the bay area, the talk and the debate would be about, let's say, transportation, education on climate change. housing issues like that. this time out, they're taking a back seat and it appears that the number one concern that we're seeing in the mail and the tv and such is sort of this idea of public safety. one way or the other, that sort of taken press guidance. so we're not hearing so much about those other issues, transportation and such like that. nobody's out to hawking a road bond or something like that. but what we're seeing in the candidates and stuff is different degrees of just trying to sell the idea of public safety, and we see that on the ballot on san francisco as well, where the measures aren't about
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whether or not to have open streets or closed streets and allow bicycles here only, or change that. or like i said, a climate, climate change or anything like that. they're right down there with housing and policing. one way or the other. >> let's talk about policing, because there are two props, both that impact police, there's a measure that would amend the city charter for police, and that's prop b. and then there's also prop e that also has to do with police. we know we have a police shortage situation in san francisco. do either of those have an impact on that? >> well, the idea is this is san francisco. so they can have an impact on a boomerang. at the same time. all right. so the first one is talking about police staffing. and for years we've been hearing about san francisco and other bay area cities being understaffed. when it comes to police. san francisco has about 1700 right now. this measure, if it passes, would bring the minimum requirement up to about over 2000. so that would be an increase of about 300 to 350 police officers. the question is
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how to pay for them. now it's interesting because before, as i said previously, this wasn't a hot topic issue. as a matter of fact, there would have been questions about whether we need to be funding police this time out. it's yes, everybody agrees we're going to need more police. but the question becomes, how do we fund them now? this originally went on the ballot to say, well, we pay for police with the money we have. it's a basic service. but others who are concerned that that would take money away from other parts of city services and possibly union contracts, turned around and said no, what we need is a designated new tax to go along with these new police. and oddly enough, when that went on as an amendment by the board of supervisors, the initial author of the bill, matt dorsey, a supervisor, withdrew his support, as did mayor london breed, saying, no, this isn't what we said. we said we were going to get the new cops. we weren't going to make it contingent on raising taxes or new taxes because they said that probably won't happen. okay so that's one police measure. the second one is the proposition e,
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which would change the rules in san francisco. so basically sidestep the police commission's rules that say on privacy, for example, this would allow for more cameras out there, license plate readers. it would allow for the police to start chasing suspects if they try to get away, rather than let them go. right now, there's a big debate about whether police should engage in car chases. if they see somebody committing a crime, there's a question about whether that's safe for other people on the streets, right? this would allow more of that. so it's interesting to see the police staffing that's at about a 5050. okay. it could go either way. the police procedures, the allowing cameras. that's going to be interesting to see because that will be a time temperature check for san francisco, which before has said no to cameras. right. said no privacy is the key. it has that changed. and the third one is proposition f, which was put on the ballot by the mayor. it's not a police
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measure, but it's a public health safety measure. and this has gotten a lot of national attention because it basically says if you're going to get welfare in san francisco, you've got to be screened for drugs. if you look like you're taking drugs, you've got to be screened for it. and if you're found to be taking drugs, illegal drugs, you have to enroll in some kind of program. you're they're not saying it has to be a locked facility. you go to a hospital, but get into an aa or something in order to get your check. that's very controversial. yes. >> and we've covered that here on abc seven before, but we're going to move on because we have a lot to get to. there's also prop c that's going to impact commercial properties and uh- right. and how those are some of them are being converted into residential. >> the idea is to try to make it easier by giving tax breaks for people to come in, buy a building, convert it from an office into housing. proponents says it will create more housing. opponents say no, it's a giveaway to billionaires because they're the only ones
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that can invest. both are true. that's that's the fact it could increase housing, but it would be a break. that's why you're doing it. you're trying to give an incentive. so it'll be interesting to see if san francisco voters go for that. >> okay, we're going to move on and talk about another, seat that's open. this is for anna susi. right. this is pretty big. what can we see happen with that ? >> well, we're probably going to see as two people emerge as nobody's going to get 50 plus 1% of the vote. so we have about eight candidates, eight candidates running, it's interesting. there's a female seat. as far as i can see. all the people running are males, but that's a side we're going to have two that emerge from that and face each other come november. who that is remains to be seen. it's a star studded cast. we have the former mayor of san jose, sam liccardo. we have evan low, state assemblyman. we have joe simitian. supervisor at the board of supervisors there, and peter dixon, who's spending a lot on tv and getting his name out there as well. so that one we're wait to see. everybody's running. anybody could win.
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>> okay. and barbara lee seat as well. >> yeah, that's a different story. barbara lee after more than about 30 years in congress, she ran for the senate. she couldn't run for two offices at once, so she had to give up her congressional seat in the east bay. that's probably going to go to lateefah simon. there's a good shot that she might get that in this primary, or she could face a runoff. she's facing 1 or 2 opponents, but she's very well funded. but we'll see. that's what's a good thing about elections is it doesn't matter what i think doesn't matter what you think. it matters what the voters think. >> but i want to ask you, in general, what does mayor london breed have to lose or gain? what's at stake for her in this specific election? >> a lot of things, the for example, the, the tax break in the for converting the offices, that's been a big core of hers is to say we've got to rechange the downtown. if the voters say no or we don't like the way you're doing that, that takes it back. the police uh- is a 5050 split for her. the because if she gets the cops, she gets the cops. that was sort of complicated. the drug testing or
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the drug screening actually, for the welfare recipients, that's a big one. initially, polls showed that passing by a pretty healthy margin. it remains to be seen because what you're having here is sort of a time and temperature test. what the voters are feeling around here as she goes into her mayoral election. will it affect her mayoral election? if she wins, she'll be okay. if she loses them, then she's going to look like, you know, another store closing in her backyard. >> before you go, we're expecting lower voter turnout. does that surprise you? >> not really, we have everybody knows who the democratic nominee is going to be at this point. everybody knows who the republican nominee is going to be at this point. and look at the weather. they're behind us. does that really make people want to go out and vote? >> it's not raining. >> this point. their point well taken. >> well, all right, phil matier, as always it's a pleasure. thank you. and you can stay with abc seven news for our election night coverage tonight. our full team of reporters and experts are fanning out across the bay area to keep an eye on the races
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that matter to you, as the results come in. our coverage of the california primary election starts at 9 p.m. streaming anywhere you watch abc seven news bay area online at abc seven news.com and on your abc seven news app. and due to election coverage, you won't see jeopardy! and wheel of fortune at their usual times tonight here on abc seven. instead, jeopardy! will air at 3 a.m, followed by wheel of fortune and in the name or under the guise of progress, a predominantly black san francisco neighborhood was stripped of its culture and its color. our media partner, the san francisco standard, joins us next to share a before unseen look back at the final moments of western edition before the bulldozers
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get neighborhoods was bulldozed into a shell of its former self,
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once known as the harlem of the west, the fillmore district was razed in the name of so-called urban renewal. our media partner, the san francisco standard, has published an article that gives us a new look at the discretion destruction, as documented in a trove of photographs. and joining us live now is standard reporter julie zagorz, who spoke to the keeper of the photos and learned about his personal connection to them. thank you so much for being here. fascinating article. i loved reading it. give us a brief history of the urban renewal project in san francisco's fillmore district, and why it was so controversial. >> yeah, so urban renewal didn't happen just in san francisco. it was actually a national project and happened in other cities across the country. but the example in san francisco is particularly controversial because it destroyed what was such a lively neighborhood, as you mentioned, it was nicknamed harlem of the west, full of jazz
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clubs, full of restaurants. it had a roller skating rink, an extremely lively, vibrant neighborhood and a black neighborhood, that was basically razed in the name of urban renewal, which was a project by the government to modernize cities, and, you know, it's questionable whether this work really needed to happen, the fillmore was labeled as a slum in editorials and newspapers at the time and given a bad rap as to who lived there and the decrepit state of the buildings, whereas in reality, a lot of the kind of issues with the buildings were just cosmetic and did not need to be torn down. >> and julie, who was ernest burdon jr and what did he document through his photography? >> yeah. so ernest burdon jr was a local architect, and he really made these photographs of the
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fillmore as it was being destroyed, just out of concern for the buildings. as a lover of architecture, you know, he wanted to document what was happening and again, what made the san francisco example so controversial is that these were beautiful victorian. some of these buildings were lifted up and carted away and moved to other neighborhoods, which again speaks to the fact that they really didn't need to be destroyed in the first place. and so out of a love and care for these buildings, this architect decided to go out with his own photographer at the young age of 24 and document what he saw along with his wife, who was also a photographer and an artist, sheila stover. >> and how many negatives are we talking about here? are included in the ernest burdon jr archive. and what do they primarily depict? >> yeah, so there's around 5000 negatives in total and 4000 or so are of the fillmore district and then 3000 are of the destruction itself. and, you know, the son, ernest burdon,
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the third, who inherited the archive upon his father's death, told me how emotional it was to work with these photographs and these prints, looking at them day in and day out, because of the violence that you can really see in the images that, you know, really hadn't been seen before. the other images of the neighborhood are much more static, wide angle shots. you don't really get this up close of people's homes being destroyed, and it really gives you a sense of what was lost in that neighborhood. >> and speaking of what was lost, what impact did that destruction on the fillmore district have on san francisco's black population? i know you talk about it in the article, but can you give us some insight? >> yeah. so san francisco's black population really never recovered from this decimation. they moved out of the area. those who were able to stay in the city moved to the haight ashbury or moved to the bayview and other neighborhoods. but we have to remember these were homeowners. these were people who owned these houses, and they
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were given basically, you know, a certificate, a paper certificate in exchange for their home saying, oh, you have the right to return whenever the neighborhood is rebuilt. but the problem is, it took years for those buildings. some of which were never rebuilt. and at that point everyone was priced out of the neighborhood and couldn't move back. so it really had this enormous ripple effect on the black population of san francisco and also on the accumulation of wealth, because you had property owners suddenly who didn't have homes that they owned anymore, and they were really never able to recover from that. >> all right. well, julie, thank you so much for this article. it's a fascinating read. hopefully everybody gets to take a look at the history and all the information that is in your article. we appreciate your time today. and you can check out more of the san francisco standard's other original reporting on their website, sf standard.com and abc seven will continue to bring you more segments featuring the standard city focused journalism twice a week, right
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world news tonight with david muir is next tonight, breaking news as we come on the air. super tuesday across america. and just in tonight, what voters are already saying. also tonight, the deadly explosion near detroit, sending debris two miles out. the gdeadly plane crash. multiple victims. and from new york city to boston, the new storm set to hit. first tonight, super tuesday, and donald trump hoping to sweep every state tonight. is this the unofficial start

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