united states, we are not gointo have any legislation this year, in france, even if polan wins over sarkozy whic looks likely, they have the same view on the euro zo, many want putin out and they are not going anywhere and in china we have known the next leaders for some time so no major instability in these transitions. >> rose: and no mayan apocalypse. >> no mayan a pock lis lips and if i am wrong we won't be talking about it so that is safe. >> rose: so if you had to look at those things where history is getting better, where is that .. for example number 2 here as a risk is g zero in the middle east which is something i assume means there is no great sense of coming together on the middle east. >> >> there isn't and there is no international capacity to maintain stability but the local forces are either not paying attention or they are fighting each other. so for example, the united states pulls out of iraq, china is not going to be in there, russia is not going to be there, the euro zone is not going to be there bhorks is going to help iraq put itself together and the answer is nobody